Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 04/10, 18:00
Prediction: Pesaro vs Juvi Cremona
Team pages: Pesaro · Juvi Cremona
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162Total
Pesaro85.7
Juvi Cremona76.3
1X2
Pesaro
Juvi Cremona
Recent form · 10 last
Pesaro
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Juvi Cremona
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pesaro
3–1
Juvi Cremona
(4 last)
- Pesaro76-64Juvi Cremona
- Juvi Cremona75-95Pesaro
- Juvi Cremona91-89Pesaro
- Pesaro92-81Juvi Cremona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pesaro 1503 · Juvi Cremona 1483
| Pesaro | Juvi Cremona | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
162 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162Pesaro 85.7 · Juvi Cremona 76.3
Match keys
- Pesaro is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Pesaro: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pesaro | Juvi Cremona | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.9 / 88.3 | 76 / 75.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.8 / 87.6 | 74.2 / 77 |
| Est. result | 86 | 76 |
Est. total162
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pesaro 3–0–1 Juvi Cremona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Italy Serie A2 | Pesaro | 76-64 | Juvi Cremona |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie A2 | Juvi Cremona | 75-95 | Pesaro |
| 06/04/25 Italy Serie A2 | Juvi Cremona | 91-89 | Pesaro |
| 22/12/24 Italy Serie A2 | Pesaro | 92-81 | Juvi Cremona |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 3 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 59 | 2 |
| 4 | Fortitudo Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 70 | 2 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 69 | 2 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 73 | 2 |
| 8 | Brindisi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 59 | 2 |
| 9 | Dinamo Sassari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 68 | 2 |
| 10 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 2 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 | Urania Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 70 | 0 |
| 13 | Juvi Cremona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 0 |
| 15 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 85 | 0 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 87 | 0 |
| 17 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 18 | Ruvo di Puglia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 92 | 0 |
| 19 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 79 | 0 |
| 20 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 84 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pesaro | Juvi Cremona |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sebastiani Rieti | 90-112 L | 53-80 L |
| Torino | 81-77 W | 59-56 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Pesaro (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pesaro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
96-81 | W |
| 19/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
78-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
96-94 | W |
| 14/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-93 | L |
| 11/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
94-79 | W |
| 09/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
89-99 | L |
| 26/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
75-84 | L |
| 19/04 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
85-73 | W |
| 12/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
90-112 | L |
| 08/04 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
81-77 | W |
Juvi Cremona
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
59-66 | L |
| 03/05 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
75-81 | L |
| 29/04 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
59-56 | W |
| 26/04 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
83-82 | W |
| 19/04 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
95-100 | L |
| 12/04 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
93-62 | W |
| 08/04 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
62-73 | L |
| 04/04 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
83-72 | W |
| 25/03 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
53-80 | L |
| 22/03 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
98-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pesaro vs Juvi Cremona?
Our model gives 75% to Pesaro.
How many points are expected in Pesaro vs Juvi Cremona?
The model estimates 162 total points (Pesaro 85.7 · Juvi Cremona 76.3).