Basketball · Brazil FPB · 06/08, 00:00
Prediction: Franca vs Bauru
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.4Total
Franca85
Bauru76.4
1X2
Franca
Bauru
Recent form · 10 last
Franca
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Bauru
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Franca
5–1
Bauru
(6 last)
- Bauru87-91Franca
- Franca85-68Bauru
- Bauru70-92Franca
- Franca85-79Bauru
- Franca93-71Bauru
- Bauru76-70Franca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franca 1594 · Bauru 1431
| Franca | Bauru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.4 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +5.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.4Franca 85 · Bauru 76.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franca (rating 1594 vs 1431).
- Franca is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Franca: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Franca | Bauru | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.9 / 74 | 79.1 / 84.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81 / 76.8 | 74.4 / 83 |
| Est. result | 85 | 76 |
Est. total161.4
Line O/U155.5
Diff.5.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franca 5–0–1 Bauru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 87-91 | Franca |
| 20/12/25 Brazil NBB | Franca | 85-68 | Bauru |
| 10/09/25 Brazil FPB | Bauru | 70-92 | Franca |
| 23/08/25 Brazil FPB | Franca | 85-79 | Bauru |
| 19/03/25 Brazil NBB | Franca | 93-71 | Bauru |
| 01/11/24 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 76-70 | Franca |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Franca | Bauru |
|---|---|---|
| Brasilia | 68-66 W | 65-94 L |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 78-77 W | 79-87 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Franca (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
85-76 | W |
| 04/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
92-94 | L |
| 03/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
78-75 | W |
| 31/05 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
82-73 | W |
| 29/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
68-66 | W |
| 27/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
69-71 | L |
| 24/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
91-74 | W |
| 22/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
50-67 | L |
| 19/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
76-67 | W |
| 16/05 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
78-77 | W |
Bauru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
62-71 | L |
| 26/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
88-75 | W |
| 25/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
80-95 | L |
| 22/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
77-80 | L |
| 18/04 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
65-94 | L |
| 16/04 | Rio Claro Brazil NBB |
63-95 | L |
| 07/04 | Franca Brazil NBB |
87-91 | L |
| 02/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
79-87 | L |
| 24/03 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
94-70 | W |
| 21/03 | Unifacisa Brazil NBB |
96-84 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franca vs Bauru?
Our model gives 73% to Franca.
How many points are expected in Franca vs Bauru?
The model estimates 161.4 total points (Franca 85 · Bauru 76.4).