Basketball · Brazil FPB · 14/08, 01:00

Prediction: Paulistano vs Franca

Team pages: Paulistano · Franca

Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.2Total
Paulistano76.9
Franca79.3
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
43% 57%
Paulistano Franca

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Paulistano 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLLWL
Franca 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Paulistano 2–4 Franca (6 last)
  • Franca89-91Paulistano
  • Paulistano69-71Franca
  • Paulistano61-69Franca
  • Franca84-86Paulistano
  • Paulistano90-100Franca
  • Franca77-72Paulistano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paulistano 1483 · Franca 1589
PaulistanoFranca
Our model48%52%
Market42%58%
Estimated total (ours) 156.2 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points156.2Paulistano 76.9 · Franca 79.3

Match keys

  • H2H favours Franca: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

PaulistanoFranca
Points F|A (Last 10)81.3 / 80.477.7 / 69.9
Points F|A (Last 5)80 / 85.283.4 / 69.6
Est. result7779
Est. total156.2
Line O/U151.5
Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulistano 204 Franca

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/02/26
Brazil NBB
Franca89-91Paulistano
25/10/25
Brazil NBB
Paulistano69-71Franca
30/08/25
Brazil FPB
Paulistano61-69Franca
18/01/25
Brazil NBB
Franca84-86Paulistano
25/10/24
Brazil NBB
Paulistano90-100Franca
04/10/24
Brazil FPB
Franca77-72Paulistano

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaulistanoFranca
Pinheiros 74-84 L 85-76 W
Bauru 71-62 W 61-51 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Franca (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paulistano

WWWLWLLLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
82-86 L
07/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
84-79 W
10/05 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
74-84 L
08/05 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
68-76 L
05/05 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
92-101 L
30/04 Bauru
Brazil NBB
71-62 W
26/04 Bauru
Brazil NBB
75-88 L
25/04 Bauru
Brazil NBB
95-80 W
22/04 Bauru
Brazil NBB
80-77 W
18/04 Pato Basquete
Brazil NBB
92-71 W

Franca

LWLWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
101-52 W
06/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
61-51 W
07/06 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
85-76 W
04/06 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
92-94 L
03/06 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
78-75 W
31/05 Pinheiros
Brazil NBB
82-73 W
29/05 Brasilia
Brazil NBB
68-66 W
27/05 Brasilia
Brazil NBB
69-71 L
24/05 Brasilia
Brazil NBB
91-74 W
22/05 Brasilia
Brazil NBB
50-67 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paulistano vs Franca?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Paulistano 43% · Franca 57%).

How many points are expected in Paulistano vs Franca?

The model estimates 156.2 total points (Paulistano 76.9 · Franca 79.3).