Basketball · Brazil Paulista 1 Div. · 15/08, 23:00

Prediction: Mogi das Cruzes vs Bauru

Team pages: Mogi das Cruzes · Bauru

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.3Total

Mogi das Cruzes81.4

Bauru72

1X2

75% 25%

Mogi das Cruzes Bauru

Recent form · 10 last

Mogi das Cruzes 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Bauru 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mogi das Cruzes 3–3 Bauru (6 last)

Mogi das Cruzes87-79Bauru
Bauru62-58Mogi das Cruzes
Bauru60-67Mogi das Cruzes
Mogi das Cruzes79-71Bauru
Mogi das Cruzes62-80Bauru
Bauru68-66Mogi das Cruzes

Model analysis

Estimated points153.3Mogi das Cruzes 81.4 · Bauru 72

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mogi das Cruzes (rating 1563 vs 1460).
Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (75% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mogi das Cruzes	Bauru
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.9 / 80.8	73.8 / 78.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.8 / 77	73.2 / 66.8
Est. result	81	72

Est. total153.3

Line O/U150.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 150.51.94

Under 150.51.81

Diff.: 8.7 · Est. total: 159.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Pinn 1.07
2	6.28 → 6.28	Pinn 6.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	2
03:42 +3’	1.07	6.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mogi das Cruzes 3–0–3 Bauru

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	87-79	Bauru
12/12/25 Brazil NBB	Bauru	62-58	Mogi das Cruzes
06/09/25 Brazil Paulista 1 Div.	Bauru	60-67	Mogi das Cruzes
01/09/25 Brazil FPB	Mogi das Cruzes	79-71	Bauru
08/02/25 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	62-80	Bauru
08/11/24 Brazil NBB	Bauru	68-66	Mogi das Cruzes

Standings · Brazil Paulista 1 Div.

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Corinthians	3	3	0	278	205
2	Mogi das Cruzes	3	3	0	280	217
3	Franca	3	3	0	240	177
4	Bauru	3	2	1	216	188
5	Paulistano	3	1	2	240	243
6	Pinheiros	3	0	3	201	255
7	Sao Jose	3	0	3	214	276
8	Osasco	3	0	3	183	291

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mogi das Cruzes	Bauru
Paulistano	86-82 W	62-71 L
Pinheiros	93-68 W	74-63 W
Franca	77-78 L	51-61 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mogi das Cruzes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/08	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	101-67	W
09/08	Paulistano Brazil FPB	86-82	W
06/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	93-68	W
16/05	Franca Brazil NBB	77-78	L
14/05	Franca Brazil NBB	102-90	W
10/05	Franca Brazil NBB	70-88	L
09/05	Franca Brazil NBB	65-97	L
06/05	Franca Brazil NBB	95-93	W
28/04	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	81-70	W
25/04	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	79-75	W

Bauru

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	91-64	W
08/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	74-63	W
06/08	Franca Brazil FPB	51-61	L
30/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	62-71	L
26/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	88-75	W
25/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	80-95	L
22/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	77-80	L
18/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	65-94	L
16/04	Rio Claro Brazil NBB	63-95	L
07/04	Franca Brazil NBB	87-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mogi das Cruzes vs Bauru?

Our model gives 75% to Mogi das Cruzes.

How many points are expected in Mogi das Cruzes vs Bauru?

The model estimates 153.3 total points (Mogi das Cruzes 81.4 · Bauru 72).