Basketball · Brazil FPB · 13/08, 01:00
Prediction: Pinheiros vs Corinthians
Team pages: Pinheiros · Corinthians
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.8Total
Pinheiros76
Corinthians85.9
1X2
Pinheiros
Corinthians
Recent form · 10 last
Pinheiros
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Corinthians
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pinheiros
4–2
Corinthians
(6 last)
- Pinheiros88-76Corinthians
- Corinthians81-82Pinheiros
- Corinthians98-84Pinheiros
- Pinheiros95-65Corinthians
- Corinthians74-69Pinheiros
- Pinheiros109-80Corinthians
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pinheiros 1503 · Corinthians 1549
| Pinheiros | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.8 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.8Pinheiros 76 · Corinthians 85.9
Match keys
- Corinthians is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Pinheiros: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pinheiros | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.8 / 82.4 | 79.7 / 72.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.2 / 84.4 | 82.8 / 67.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 86 |
Est. total161.8
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pinheiros 4–0–2 Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 88-76 | Corinthians |
| 23/05/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 81-82 | Pinheiros |
| 21/05/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 98-84 | Pinheiros |
| 19/05/26 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 95-65 | Corinthians |
| 04/04/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 74-69 | Pinheiros |
| 21/12/25 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 109-80 | Corinthians |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
63-74 | L |
| 06/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
68-93 | L |
| 07/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
76-85 | L |
| 04/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
94-92 | W |
| 03/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
75-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
73-82 | L |
| 27/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-76 | W |
| 23/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
82-81 | W |
| 21/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
84-98 | L |
| 19/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
95-65 | W |
Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
91-68 | W |
| 07/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
99-67 | W |
| 11/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
68-61 | W |
| 07/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-73 | W |
| 05/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
81-69 | W |
| 02/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
61-98 | L |
| 17/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 17/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 16/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
87-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pinheiros vs Corinthians?
Our model gives 76% to Corinthians.
How many points are expected in Pinheiros vs Corinthians?
The model estimates 161.8 total points (Pinheiros 76 · Corinthians 85.9).