Basketball · Brazil FPB · 06/08, 01:00
Prediction: Pinheiros vs Mogi das Cruzes
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.1Total
Pinheiros76.6
Mogi das Cruzes83.5
1X2
Pinheiros
Mogi das Cruzes
Recent form · 10 last
Pinheiros
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Mogi das Cruzes
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pinheiros
3–3
Mogi das Cruzes
(6 last)
- Mogi das Cruzes73-80Pinheiros
- Pinheiros84-69Mogi das Cruzes
- Mogi das Cruzes98-87Pinheiros
- Pinheiros57-75Mogi das Cruzes
- Mogi das Cruzes76-68Pinheiros
- Pinheiros91-77Mogi das Cruzes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pinheiros 1535 · Mogi das Cruzes 1527
| Pinheiros | Mogi das Cruzes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.1 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +5.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.1Pinheiros 76.6 · Mogi das Cruzes 83.5
Match keys
- Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pinheiros | Mogi das Cruzes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.7 / 79.9 | 80.1 / 80.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.2 / 82.6 | 81.8 / 89.2 |
| Est. result | 77 | 84 |
Est. total160.1
Line O/U154.5
Diff.5.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pinheiros 3–0–3 Mogi das Cruzes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Brazil NBB | Mogi das Cruzes | 73-80 | Pinheiros |
| 11/12/25 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 84-69 | Mogi das Cruzes |
| 03/10/25 Brazil FPB | Mogi das Cruzes | 98-87 | Pinheiros |
| 30/09/25 Brazil FPB | Pinheiros | 57-75 | Mogi das Cruzes |
| 17/08/25 Brazil FPB | Mogi das Cruzes | 76-68 | Pinheiros |
| 13/03/25 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 91-77 | Mogi das Cruzes |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pinheiros | Mogi das Cruzes |
|---|---|---|
| Franca | 76-85 L | 77-78 L |
| Paulistano | 84-74 W | 84-70 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
76-85 | L |
| 04/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
94-92 | W |
| 03/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
75-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
73-82 | L |
| 27/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-76 | W |
| 23/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
82-81 | W |
| 21/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
84-98 | L |
| 19/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
95-65 | W |
| 10/05 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
84-74 | W |
| 08/05 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
76-68 | W |
Mogi das Cruzes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
77-78 | L |
| 14/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
102-90 | W |
| 10/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
70-88 | L |
| 09/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
65-97 | L |
| 06/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
95-93 | W |
| 28/04 | Sao Jose Brazil NBB |
81-70 | W |
| 25/04 | Sao Jose Brazil NBB |
79-75 | W |
| 23/04 | Sao Jose Brazil NBB |
75-70 | W |
| 18/04 | Osasco Brazil NBB |
73-76 | L |
| 16/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
84-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pinheiros vs Mogi das Cruzes?
Our model gives 69% to Mogi das Cruzes.
How many points are expected in Pinheiros vs Mogi das Cruzes?
The model estimates 160.1 total points (Pinheiros 76.6 · Mogi das Cruzes 83.5).