Basketball · France Ligue B · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Caen Basket Calvados vs Poitiers

Team pages: Caen Basket Calvados · Poitiers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.2Total

Caen Basket Calvados86.2

Poitiers84

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Caen Basket Calvados Poitiers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Caen Basket Calvados 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWLL

Poitiers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Caen Basket Calvados 4–2 Poitiers (6 last)

Caen Basket Calvados89-87Poitiers
Poitiers90-65Caen Basket Calvados
Poitiers74-78Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados95-91Poitiers
Caen Basket Calvados72-80Poitiers
Poitiers59-66Caen Basket Calvados

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caen Basket Calvados 1492 · Poitiers 1561

	Caen Basket Calvados	Poitiers
Our model	53%	47%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 170.2 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.2Caen Basket Calvados 86.2 · Poitiers 84

Match keys

H2H favours Caen Basket Calvados: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Caen Basket Calvados	Poitiers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.5 / 88.5	85.8 / 82.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.6 / 88	85.4 / 85.4
Est. result	86	84

Est. total170.2

Line O/U167.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 171.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.31 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	2
21:39 +11’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:33 +18’	1.62	2.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caen Basket Calvados 4–0–2 Poitiers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	89-87	Poitiers
27/12/25 France Ligue B	Poitiers	90-65	Caen Basket Calvados
17/01/25 France Ligue B	Poitiers	74-78	Caen Basket Calvados
13/09/24 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	95-91	Poitiers
31/03/23 France Nationale 1	Caen Basket Calvados	72-80	Poitiers
10/03/23 France Nationale 1	Poitiers	59-66	Caen Basket Calvados

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Denain	5	4	1	422	368
2	Nantes	5	3	2	402	393
3	Caen Basket Calvados	5	3	2	448	440
4	Antibes	5	3	2	409	403
5	Levallois Basketball	5	3	2	404	404
6	Saint-Chamond	5	3	2	446	448
7	UJAP Quimper	5	3	2	404	383
8	Blois	5	3	2	464	433
9	Chalons-Reims	5	3	2	398	397
10	Hyeres Toulon	5	3	2	409	423
11	Evreux	5	3	2	442	424
12	Poitiers	4	2	2	354	341
13	Orleans	5	2	3	419	418
14	Aix Maurienne	5	2	3	412	440
15	Vichy Clermont	5	2	3	430	444
16	Le Havre	5	2	3	439	433
17	Rouen	5	2	3	410	428
18	Fos-sur-Mer	4	1	3	310	347
19	La Rochelle	5	1	4	437	453
20	Gries-Souffel	5	1	4	394	433

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	72-81	L
16/10	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	76-80	L
09/10	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	90-77	W
02/10	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	115-111	W
25/09	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-91	W
15/05	Antibes France Ligue B	93-86	W
08/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	75-99	L
01/05	Roanne France Ligue B	71-75	L
24/04	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	70-79	L
21/04	Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B	98-106	L

Poitiers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	92-77	W
09/10	Nantes France Ligue B	90-73	W
03/10	Blois France Ligue B	92-105	L
25/09	Evreux France Ligue B	80-86	L
18/06	Pau-Orthez France Ligue B	73-86	L
15/06	Pau-Orthez France Ligue B	72-81	L
12/06	Pau-Orthez France Ligue B	106-82	W
09/06	Nantes France Ligue B	85-75	W
06/06	Nantes France Ligue B	88-79	W
03/06	Nantes France Ligue B	80-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caen Basket Calvados vs Poitiers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Caen Basket Calvados 56% · Poitiers 44%).

How many points are expected in Caen Basket Calvados vs Poitiers?

The model estimates 170.2 total points (Caen Basket Calvados 86.2 · Poitiers 84).