Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 25/07, 11:30
Prediction: Canberra Gunners vs Maitland Mustangs
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.8Total
Canberra Gunners84.1
Maitland Mustangs81.7
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Canberra Gunners
Maitland Mustangs
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Canberra Gunners
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Maitland Mustangs
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canberra Gunners
3–3
Maitland Mustangs
(6 last)
- Maitland Mustangs73-75Canberra Gunners
- Canberra Gunners76-71Maitland Mustangs
- Maitland Mustangs86-72Canberra Gunners
Model analysis
Estimated points165.8Canberra Gunners 84.1 · Maitland Mustangs 81.7
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Canberra Gunners | Maitland Mustangs | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.7 / 82.2 | 89.8 / 80.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 79.6 | 91.2 / 84.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 82 |
Est. total165.8
Line O/U168.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Gunners 3–0–3 Maitland Mustangs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 73-75 | Canberra Gunners |
| 19/07/25 Australia NBL1 East | Canberra Gunners | 76-71 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 10/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 86-72 | Canberra Gunners |
| 10/08/24 Australia NBL1 East | Canberra Gunners | 67-86 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 22/06/24 Australia NBL1 East | Canberra Gunners | 82-80 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 13/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 90-69 | Canberra Gunners |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1946 | 1682 | 0 |
| 2 | Norths Bears | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1759 | 1519 | 0 |
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1766 | 1585 | 0 |
| 4 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1686 | 1513 | 0 |
| 5 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 6 | Canberra Gunners | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1680 | 1601 | 0 |
| 7 | Maitland Mustangs | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1757 | 1611 | 0 |
| 8 | Central Coast Crusaders | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1723 | 1747 | 0 |
| 9 | Newcastle Falcons | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1539 | 1606 | 0 |
| 10 | Inner West Bulls | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1588 | 1740 | 0 |
| 11 | Hills Hornets | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1565 | 1669 | 0 |
| 12 | Bankstown Bruins | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1766 | 1847 | 0 |
| 13 | Sydney Comets | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1546 | 1592 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1671 | 1781 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 20 | 3 | 17 | 1456 | 1762 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1625 | 1988 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Gunners | Maitland Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney Comets | 88-72 W | 110-88 W |
| Norths Bears | 70-81 L | 86-99 L |
| Inner West Bulls | 63-67 L | 91-72 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland Mustangs (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Gunners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
88-72 | W |
| 11/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
92-78 | W |
| 04/07 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
70-81 | L |
| 27/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
87-100 | L |
| 20/06 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
63-67 | L |
| 14/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
75-78 | L |
| 13/06 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
93-102 | L |
| 05/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
75-62 | W |
| 04/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
76-73 | W |
| 31/05 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
108-109 | L |
Maitland Mustangs
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
87-91 | L |
| 18/07 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
80-73 | W |
| 11/07 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
110-88 | W |
| 04/07 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
72-82 | L |
| 27/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
107-87 | W |
| 20/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
95-81 | W |
| 14/06 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
91-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
85-67 | W |
| 30/05 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
86-99 | L |
| 24/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
85-61 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Gunners vs Maitland Mustangs?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Canberra Gunners 57% · Maitland Mustangs 43%).
How many points are expected in Canberra Gunners vs Maitland Mustangs?
The model estimates 165.8 total points (Canberra Gunners 84.1 · Maitland Mustangs 81.7).