Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 19/07, 08:00
Prediction: Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Penrith Panthers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.6Total
Illawarra Hawks NBL193.7
Penrith Panthers81.9
1X2
Illawarra Hawks NBL1
Penrith Panthers
Recent form · 10 last
Illawarra Hawks NBL1
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Penrith Panthers
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Illawarra Hawks NBL1
4–1
Penrith Panthers
(5 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points175.6Illawarra Hawks NBL1 93.7 · Penrith Panthers 81.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illawarra Hawks NBL1 (rating 1562 vs 1414).
- Illawarra Hawks NBL1 is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Illawarra Hawks NBL1: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | Penrith Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.1 / 85.2 | 78.5 / 91 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95 / 85.8 | 78.2 / 91 |
| Est. result | 94 | 82 |
Est. total175.6
Line O/U177
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Hawks NBL1 4–0–1 Penrith Panthers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 84-94 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 11/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 81-86 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 92-95 | Penrith Panthers |
| 02/07/23 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 68-94 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 18/03/23 Australia NBL1 East | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 106-63 | Penrith Panthers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1697 | 1456 | 0 |
| 2 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1751 | 1526 | 0 |
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1703 | 1523 | 0 |
| 4 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1580 | 1440 | 0 |
| 5 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 6 | Maitland Mustangs | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1590 | 1447 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1592 | 1529 | 0 |
| 8 | Newcastle Falcons | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1466 | 1526 | 0 |
| 9 | Central Coast Crusaders | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1618 | 1665 | 0 |
| 10 | Sydney Comets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1474 | 1504 | 0 |
| 11 | Inner West Bulls | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1515 | 1634 | 0 |
| 12 | Hills Hornets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1485 | 1575 | 0 |
| 13 | Bankstown Bruins | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1581 | 1663 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1574 | 1687 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1380 | 1661 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1543 | 1883 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | Penrith Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Hills Hornets | 94-80 W | 75-72 W |
| Sutherland Sharks | 88-92 L | 55-104 L |
| Albury Wodonga Bandits | 93-73 W | 98-91 W |
| Bankstown Bruins | 92-77 W | 93-104 L |
| Newcastle Falcons | 94-69 W | 70-84 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Illawarra Hawks NBL1 (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Illawarra Hawks NBL1
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
94-80 | W |
| 11/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
88-92 | L |
| 05/07 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
102-79 | W |
| 04/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
93-73 | W |
| 27/06 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
98-105 | L |
| 21/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
92-77 | W |
| 20/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
77-82 | L |
| 13/06 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
102-93 | W |
| 30/05 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
111-102 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
94-69 | W |
Penrith Panthers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
55-104 | L |
| 10/07 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
75-72 | W |
| 05/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
98-91 | W |
| 04/07 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
93-104 | L |
| 28/06 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
70-84 | L |
| 21/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
71-84 | L |
| 20/06 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
81-95 | L |
| 13/06 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
79-85 | L |
| 31/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
80-102 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
83-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Penrith Panthers?
Our model gives 80% to Illawarra Hawks NBL1.
How many points are expected in Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Penrith Panthers?
The model estimates 175.6 total points (Illawarra Hawks NBL1 93.7 · Penrith Panthers 81.9).