Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 19/07, 07:00

Prediction: Maitland Mustangs vs Bankstown Bruins

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.7Total

Maitland Mustangs93.3

Bankstown Bruins81.5

1X2

80% 20%

Maitland Mustangs Bankstown Bruins

Markets

Under 178 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Maitland Mustangs 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Bankstown Bruins 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maitland Mustangs 5–1 Bankstown Bruins (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points174.7Maitland Mustangs 93.3 · Bankstown Bruins 81.5

Over / Under 178Under · 65%recent trend · ~172 pts · strength 6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland Mustangs (rating 1582 vs 1432).
Maitland Mustangs is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Maitland Mustangs: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Maitland Mustangs	Bankstown Bruins
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.3 / 79.4	84.9 / 90.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.8 / 82.2	84.6 / 88.4
Est. result	93	82

Est. total174.7

Line O/U178

Diff.3.3

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1781.83

Under 1781.83

Diff.: 4.85 · Est. total: 173.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
2	2.83 → 2.83	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	2
11:45	1.33	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland Mustangs 5–0–1 Bankstown Bruins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia NBL1 East	Bankstown Bruins	78-104	Maitland Mustangs
29/06/25 Australia NBL1 East	Bankstown Bruins	130-102	Maitland Mustangs
15/06/24 Australia NBL1 East	Bankstown Bruins	87-100	Maitland Mustangs
03/06/23 Australia NBL1 East	Maitland Mustangs	99-82	Bankstown Bruins
06/08/22 Australia NBL1 East	Bankstown Bruins	96-98	Maitland Mustangs
28/05/22 Australia NBL1 East	Maitland Mustangs	77-68	Bankstown Bruins

Standings · Australia NBL1 East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Norths Bears	19	16	3	1697	1456
2	Illawarra Hawks NBL1	18	14	4	1751	1526
3	Sutherland Sharks	19	13	6	1703	1523
4	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	19	13	6	1580	1440
5	BA Coe	20	13	7	1669	1499
6	Maitland Mustangs	18	11	7	1590	1447
7	Canberra Gunners	19	11	8	1592	1529
8	Newcastle Falcons	19	9	10	1466	1526
9	Central Coast Crusaders	19	9	10	1618	1665
10	Sydney Comets	19	8	11	1474	1504
11	Inner West Bulls	19	8	11	1515	1634
12	Hills Hornets	19	8	11	1485	1575
13	Bankstown Bruins	18	7	11	1581	1663
14	Hornsby Spiders	19	6	13	1574	1687
15	Penrith Panthers	19	3	16	1380	1661
16	Albury Wodonga Bandits	19	2	17	1543	1883

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maitland Mustangs	Bankstown Bruins
Newcastle Falcons	80-73 W	85-78 W
Hills Hornets	72-82 L	69-77 L
Central Coast Crusaders	107-87 W	79-86 L
Penrith Panthers	95-81 W	104-93 W
Inner West Bulls	91-72 W	80-108 L
Norths Bears	86-99 L	89-88 W
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	85-61 W	84-92 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Maitland Mustangs (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maitland Mustangs

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East	80-73	W
11/07	Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East	110-88	W
04/07	Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East	72-82	L
27/06	Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East	107-87	W
20/06	Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East	95-81	W
14/06	Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East	91-72	W
13/06	Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East	85-67	W
30/05	Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East	86-99	L
24/05	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East	85-61	W
23/05	Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East	102-84	W

Bankstown Bruins

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East	69-77	L
04/07	Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East	104-93	W
28/06	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East	84-92	L
27/06	Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East	89-88	W
21/06	Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East	77-92	L
13/06	Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East	85-78	W
31/05	Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East	79-86	L
23/05	Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East	80-108	L
16/05	Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East	92-96	L
10/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East	90-97	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maitland Mustangs vs Bankstown Bruins?

Our model gives 80% to Maitland Mustangs.

How many points are expected in Maitland Mustangs vs Bankstown Bruins?

The model estimates 174.7 total points (Maitland Mustangs 93.3 · Bankstown Bruins 81.5).

Over or under 178 points?

Recent history points to under 178 points (65%).