Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 02/08, 07:00
Prediction: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Central Coast Crusaders
Team pages: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles · Central Coast Crusaders
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.8Total
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles85.9
Central Coast Crusaders80.9
1X2
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Central Coast Crusaders
Recent form · 10 last
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Central Coast Crusaders
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
5–1
Central Coast Crusaders
(6 last)
- Manly Warringah Sea Eagles82-71Central Coast Crusaders
- Central Coast Crusaders78-86Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
- Central Coast Crusaders92-73Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
- Manly Warringah Sea Eagles102-81Central Coast Crusaders
- Central Coast Crusaders72-79Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
- Manly Warringah Sea Eagles82-73Central Coast Crusaders
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1516 · Central Coast Crusaders 1536
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Central Coast Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.8Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 85.9 · Central Coast Crusaders 80.9
Match keys
- H2H favours Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Central Coast Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.5 / 79.3 | 90.1 / 84 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 84.4 | 91.2 / 90.2 |
| Est. result | 86 | 81 |
Est. total166.8
Line O/U166.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 5–0–1 Central Coast Crusaders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia NBL1 East | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 82-71 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 24/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Central Coast Crusaders | 78-86 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 East | Central Coast Crusaders | 92-73 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 04/05/24 Australia NBL1 East | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 102-81 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 03/06/23 Australia NBL1 East | Central Coast Crusaders | 72-79 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 25/03/23 Australia NBL1 East | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 82-73 | Central Coast Crusaders |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1946 | 1682 | 0 |
| 2 | Norths Bears | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1759 | 1519 | 0 |
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1766 | 1585 | 0 |
| 4 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1686 | 1513 | 0 |
| 5 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 6 | Canberra Gunners | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1680 | 1601 | 0 |
| 7 | Maitland Mustangs | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1757 | 1611 | 0 |
| 8 | Central Coast Crusaders | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1723 | 1747 | 0 |
| 9 | Newcastle Falcons | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1539 | 1606 | 0 |
| 10 | Inner West Bulls | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1588 | 1740 | 0 |
| 11 | Hills Hornets | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1565 | 1669 | 0 |
| 12 | Bankstown Bruins | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1766 | 1847 | 0 |
| 13 | Sydney Comets | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1546 | 1592 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1671 | 1781 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 20 | 3 | 17 | 1456 | 1762 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1625 | 1988 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Central Coast Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Bankstown Bruins | 92-84 W | 86-79 W |
| Newcastle Falcons | 71-92 L | 81-82 L |
| BA Coe | 87-72 W | 94-81 W |
| Albury Wodonga Bandits | 111-70 W | 105-82 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
65-86 | L |
| 18/07 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
106-73 | W |
| 10/07 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
74-91 | L |
| 04/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
63-88 | L |
| 28/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
92-84 | W |
| 27/06 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
71-92 | L |
| 20/06 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
82-77 | W |
| 14/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
87-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
111-70 | W |
| 30/05 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
74-60 | W |
Central Coast Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
94-81 | W |
| 18/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
105-82 | W |
| 11/07 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
81-82 | L |
| 04/07 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
89-99 | L |
| 27/06 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
87-107 | L |
| 21/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
84-71 | W |
| 13/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
98-83 | W |
| 31/05 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
86-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
88-73 | W |
| 24/05 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
89-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Central Coast Crusaders?
Our model gives 64% to Manly Warringah Sea Eagles.
How many points are expected in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Central Coast Crusaders?
The model estimates 166.8 total points (Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 85.9 · Central Coast Crusaders 80.9).