Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 08/11, 07:05
Prediction: Mikawa Seahorses vs Shiga Lakes
Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses · Shiga Lakes
Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.4Total
Mikawa Seahorses92.4
Shiga Lakes79
1X2
Mikawa Seahorses
Shiga Lakes
Recent form · 10 last
Mikawa Seahorses
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Shiga Lakes
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mikawa Seahorses
5–1
Shiga Lakes
(6 last)
- Mikawa Seahorses105-80Shiga Lakes
- Mikawa Seahorses98-82Shiga Lakes
- Shiga Lakes73-110Mikawa Seahorses
- Shiga Lakes80-99Mikawa Seahorses
- Shiga Lakes48-87Mikawa Seahorses
- Shiga Lakes69-67Mikawa Seahorses
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikawa Seahorses 1579 · Shiga Lakes 1476
| Mikawa Seahorses | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
171.4 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points171.4Mikawa Seahorses 92.4 · Shiga Lakes 79
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikawa Seahorses (rating 1579 vs 1476).
- Mikawa Seahorses is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mikawa Seahorses | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.1 / 76.6 | 84.5 / 88.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.4 / 77.8 | 79 / 86.2 |
| Est. result | 92 | 79 |
Est. total171.4
Line O/U169.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mikawa Seahorses 5–0–1 Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 105-80 | Shiga Lakes |
| 05/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 98-82 | Shiga Lakes |
| 09/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 73-110 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 08/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 80-99 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 11/12/22 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 48-87 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 10/12/22 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 69-67 | Mikawa Seahorses |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 10 | 10 | 0 | 925 | 736 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1265 | 1108 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 9 | 7 | 2 | 786 | 726 | 0 |
| 4 | Mikawa Seahorses | 11 | 8 | 3 | 988 | 872 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1015 | 922 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1106 | 1069 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1107 | 1147 | 0 |
| 8 | Nagasaki Velca | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1151 | 1204 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1165 | 1203 | 0 |
| 10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 974 | 993 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1026 | 1119 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 13 | 1 | 12 | 992 | 1222 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 13 | 1 | 12 | 882 | 1172 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikawa Seahorses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
83-90 | L |
| 01/11 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
84-78 | W |
| 31/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
100-83 | W |
| 24/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
91-82 | W |
| 18/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-56 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
89-81 | W |
| 09/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
90-105 | L |
| 04/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-57 | W |
| 03/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
76-57 | W |
| 27/09 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
78-77 | W |
Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
81-75 | W |
| 01/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
64-87 | L |
| 30/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
69-104 | L |
| 23/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
89-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
92-80 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
67-99 | L |
| 12/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
95-76 | W |
| 10/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
105-111 | L |
| 07/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
85-92 | L |
| 04/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
98-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikawa Seahorses vs Shiga Lakes?
Our model gives 83% to Mikawa Seahorses.
How many points are expected in Mikawa Seahorses vs Shiga Lakes?
The model estimates 171.4 total points (Mikawa Seahorses 92.4 · Shiga Lakes 79).