Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 12/10, 07:05

Prediction: Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Alvark

Team pages: Osaka Evessa · Tokyo Alvark

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.3Total

Osaka Evessa83.5

Tokyo Alvark87.8

1X2

38% 62%

Osaka Evessa Tokyo Alvark

Recent form · 10 last

Osaka Evessa 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Tokyo Alvark 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Osaka Evessa 1–5 Tokyo Alvark (6 last)

Osaka Evessa88-105Tokyo Alvark
Osaka Evessa76-91Tokyo Alvark
Osaka Evessa68-75Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark82-47Osaka Evessa
Tokyo Alvark66-68Osaka Evessa
Tokyo Alvark83-81Osaka Evessa

Model analysis

Estimated points171.3Osaka Evessa 83.5 · Tokyo Alvark 87.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1406 vs 1582).
H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Osaka Evessa	Tokyo Alvark
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.8 / 84.2	91.7 / 90.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	67.8 / 84.8	98.4 / 88.6
Est. result	84	88

Est. total171.3

Line O/U165.5

Diff.5.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+11.5)1.83

2 (-11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 5.15 · Est. total: 170.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.79 → 5.79	Pinn 5.79
2	1.10 → 1.10	Pinn 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
16:57 +4’	5.79	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Osaka Evessa 1–0–5 Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	88-105	Tokyo Alvark
24/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	76-91	Tokyo Alvark
23/09/25 Club Friendlies	Osaka Evessa	68-75	Tokyo Alvark
13/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	82-47	Osaka Evessa
12/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	66-68	Osaka Evessa
28/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	83-81	Osaka Evessa

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	6	6	0	569	484
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	5	5	0	448	372
3	San En Neo Phoenix	5	5	0	444	388
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	7	5	2	582	555
5	Mikawa Seahorses	6	4	2	531	483
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	6	3	3	479	488
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	6	3	3	491	490
8	Nagasaki Velca	6	2	4	427	478
9	Shiga Lakes	6	2	4	550	541
10	Kobe Storks	6	2	4	469	506
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	6	2	4	503	506
12	Osaka Evessa	6	1	5	418	493
13	Saga Ballooners	6	1	5	456	546

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Osaka Evessa

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	90-97	L
07/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	57-66	L
04/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	57-101	L
03/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	57-76	L
27/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	78-84	L
26/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	79-69	W
03/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	79-91	L
02/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
26/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	92-83	W
25/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	78-88	L

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
04/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	96-71	W
02/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	138-131	W
23/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	74-85	L
22/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	84-73	W
08/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	56-96	L
07/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	78-93	L
03/05	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	96-97	L
02/05	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	111-104	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Alvark?

Our model gives 62% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Alvark?

The model estimates 171.3 total points (Osaka Evessa 83.5 · Tokyo Alvark 87.8).