Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 21/10, 12:05

Prediction: Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Akita Northern Happinets

Team pages: Hiroshima Dragonflies · Akita Northern Happinets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.9Total

Hiroshima Dragonflies92.2

Akita Northern Happinets75.7

1X2

88% 12%

Hiroshima Dragonflies Akita Northern Happinets

Recent form · 10 last

Hiroshima Dragonflies 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWW

Akita Northern Happinets 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Hiroshima Dragonflies 5–1 Akita Northern Happinets (6 last)

Hiroshima Dragonflies79-69Akita Northern Happinets
Hiroshima Dragonflies101-92Akita Northern Happinets
Hiroshima Dragonflies60-69Akita Northern Happinets
Hiroshima Dragonflies74-72Akita Northern Happinets
Hiroshima Dragonflies82-68Akita Northern Happinets
Hiroshima Dragonflies81-74Akita Northern Happinets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1593 · Akita Northern Happinets 1451

	Hiroshima Dragonflies	Akita Northern Happinets
Our model	79%	21%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 167.9 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.9Hiroshima Dragonflies 92.2 · Akita Northern Happinets 75.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiroshima Dragonflies (rating 1593 vs 1451).
Hiroshima Dragonflies is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Hiroshima Dragonflies: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Hiroshima Dragonflies	Akita Northern Happinets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.5 / 82.7	75 / 84.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 81.8	83 / 85.8
Est. result	92	76

Est. total167.9

Line O/U166.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.83

2 (+16.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 166.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.05 ★
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	2
11:29 +19’	1.03	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:44 +3’	1.05	7.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroshima Dragonflies 5–0–1 Akita Northern Happinets

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	79-69	Akita Northern Happinets
07/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	101-92	Akita Northern Happinets
05/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	60-69	Akita Northern Happinets
04/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	74-72	Akita Northern Happinets
06/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	82-68	Akita Northern Happinets
05/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	81-74	Akita Northern Happinets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	8	8	0	735	630
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	6	6	0	540	449
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	8	6	2	697	625
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	8	4	4	663	642
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
8	Shiga Lakes	8	3	5	712	716
9	Nagasaki Velca	9	3	6	640	724
10	Kobe Storks	8	2	6	609	671
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	9	2	7	751	795
12	Osaka Evessa	8	1	7	559	694
13	Saga Ballooners	9	1	8	677	842

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hiroshima Dragonflies

LLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	77-75	W
17/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	89-71	W
10/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	111-105	W
07/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-86	W
04/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	83-72	W
02/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	96-73	W
27/09	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	89-61	W
25/09	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	100-87	W
03/05	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	91-101	L
02/05	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	89-96	L

Akita Northern Happinets

LLLWLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	74-90	L
17/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	102-95	W
11/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	82-71	W
08/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
04/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	76-86	L
03/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-90	L
27/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	75-73	W
26/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	55-81	L
03/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	70-87	L
02/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	72-85	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Akita Northern Happinets?

Our model gives 88% to Hiroshima Dragonflies.

How many points are expected in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Akita Northern Happinets?

The model estimates 167.9 total points (Hiroshima Dragonflies 92.2 · Akita Northern Happinets 75.7).