Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 21/10, 12:05

Prediction: Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Team pages: Utsunomiya Brex · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.2Total

Utsunomiya Brex77.8

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins82.4

1X2

37% 63%

Utsunomiya Brex Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Recent form · 10 last

Utsunomiya Brex 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLLW

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Utsunomiya Brex 3–3 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (6 last)

Utsunomiya Brex66-75Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Utsunomiya Brex82-89Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins74-90Utsunomiya Brex
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins69-87Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex91-90Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Utsunomiya Brex83-85Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utsunomiya Brex 1503 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1610

	Utsunomiya Brex	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Our model	48%	52%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 160.2 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160.2Utsunomiya Brex 77.8 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 82.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1503 vs 1610).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Utsunomiya Brex	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.8 / 79.6	84.3 / 77.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.8 / 80.6	89.4 / 77.2
Est. result	78	82

Est. total160.2

Line O/U163.5

Diff.3.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 160.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.72 → 2.72	Pinn 2.91 ★
2	1.41 → 1.41	Bet365 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
12:30 +18’	2.72	1.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:41 +5’	2.91	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsunomiya Brex 3–0–3 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	66-75	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
09/05/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	82-89	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
26/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	74-90	Utsunomiya Brex
25/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	69-87	Utsunomiya Brex
22/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	91-90	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
21/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	83-85	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	8	8	0	735	630
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	6	6	0	540	449
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	8	6	2	697	625
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	8	4	4	663	642
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
8	Shiga Lakes	8	3	5	712	716
9	Nagasaki Velca	9	3	6	640	724
10	Kobe Storks	8	2	6	609	671
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	9	2	7	751	795
12	Osaka Evessa	8	1	7	559	694
13	Saga Ballooners	9	1	8	677	842

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Utsunomiya Brex

LLWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	83-80	W
17/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	81-85	L
11/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	71-82	L
09/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-79	W
04/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-77	W
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L
27/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	71-74	L
26/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	88-78	W
10/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	66-75	L
09/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	82-89	L

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

WWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	92-77	W
11/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
04/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	90-80	W
03/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	85-73	W
27/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
26/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League 1	93-63	W
16/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	74-90	L
15/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-85	L
10/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	75-66	W
09/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	89-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

Our model gives 63% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.

How many points are expected in Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

The model estimates 160.2 total points (Utsunomiya Brex 77.8 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 82.4).