Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 21/10, 12:05

Prediction: Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Osaka Evessa

Team pages: Kanagawa Brave Thunders · Osaka Evessa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165Total

Kanagawa Brave Thunders86

Osaka Evessa79

1X2

69% 31%

Kanagawa Brave Thunders Osaka Evessa

Recent form · 10 last

Kanagawa Brave Thunders 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWLLL

Osaka Evessa 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Kanagawa Brave Thunders 2–4 Osaka Evessa (6 last)

Osaka Evessa103-93Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Osaka Evessa98-76Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Kanagawa Brave Thunders78-85Osaka Evessa
Kanagawa Brave Thunders99-92Osaka Evessa
Osaka Evessa92-72Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Osaka Evessa74-79Kanagawa Brave Thunders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 1444 · Osaka Evessa 1414

	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	Osaka Evessa
Our model	67%	33%
Market	69%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 165 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165Kanagawa Brave Thunders 86 · Osaka Evessa 79

Match keys

Kanagawa Brave Thunders is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Osaka Evessa: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	Osaka Evessa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.7 / 84.8	71.9 / 87.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.8 / 82.2	69 / 93
Est. result	86	79

Est. total165

Line O/U162.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.34

23.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 161.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.34	Bet365 1.34
2	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.68 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
12:32 +16’	1.34	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:42 +5’	1.25	3.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 2–0–4 Osaka Evessa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	103-93	Kanagawa Brave Thunders
18/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	98-76	Kanagawa Brave Thunders
23/03/25 Japan B League Premier	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	78-85	Osaka Evessa
22/03/25 Japan B League Premier	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	99-92	Osaka Evessa
29/10/23 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	92-72	Kanagawa Brave Thunders
28/10/23 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	74-79	Kanagawa Brave Thunders

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	8	8	0	735	630
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	6	6	0	540	449
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	8	6	2	697	625
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	8	4	4	663	642
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
8	Shiga Lakes	8	3	5	712	716
9	Nagasaki Velca	9	3	6	640	724
10	Kobe Storks	8	2	6	609	671
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	9	2	7	751	795
12	Osaka Evessa	8	1	7	559	694
13	Saga Ballooners	9	1	8	677	842

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	Osaka Evessa
Ibaraki Robots	74-82 L	63-98 L
Tokyo Alvark	82-94 L	78-103 L
Altiri Chiba	82-74 W	90-97 L
Yokohama B-Corsairs	88-84 W	57-66 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kanagawa Brave Thunders (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kanagawa Brave Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	69-80	L
16/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	74-82	L
10/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	82-94	L
08/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	87-81	W
04/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	82-74	W
03/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	90-99	L
27/09	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	78-90	L
26/09	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1	63-93	L
03/05	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	88-84	W
02/05	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	74-71	W

Osaka Evessa

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	63-98	L
12/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	78-103	L
09/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	90-97	L
07/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	57-66	L
04/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	57-101	L
03/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	57-76	L
27/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	78-84	L
26/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	79-69	W
03/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	79-91	L
02/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Osaka Evessa?

Our model gives 69% to Kanagawa Brave Thunders.

How many points are expected in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Osaka Evessa?

The model estimates 165 total points (Kanagawa Brave Thunders 86 · Osaka Evessa 79).