Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 21/10, 12:05

Prediction: Levanga Hokkaido vs Toyama Grouses

Team pages: Levanga Hokkaido · Toyama Grouses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

187.7Total

Levanga Hokkaido99.5

Toyama Grouses88.2

1X2

79% 21%

Levanga Hokkaido Toyama Grouses

Recent form · 10 last

Levanga Hokkaido 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Toyama Grouses 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Levanga Hokkaido 5–1 Toyama Grouses (6 last)

Toyama Grouses115-93Levanga Hokkaido
Toyama Grouses98-101Levanga Hokkaido
Levanga Hokkaido88-87Toyama Grouses
Levanga Hokkaido109-85Toyama Grouses
Levanga Hokkaido88-81Toyama Grouses
Levanga Hokkaido87-65Toyama Grouses

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levanga Hokkaido 1515 · Toyama Grouses 1504

	Levanga Hokkaido	Toyama Grouses
Our model	64%	36%
Market	82%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 187.7 points · Bet365 line 179.5 · +8.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points187.7Levanga Hokkaido 99.5 · Toyama Grouses 88.2

Match keys

Levanga Hokkaido is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours Levanga Hokkaido: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Levanga Hokkaido	Toyama Grouses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	99.6 / 94.8	85.4 / 87.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	100.8 / 92.2	80 / 88.6
Est. result	100	88

Est. total187.7

Line O/U179.5

Diff.8.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 179.51.83

Under 179.51.83

Diff.: 4.1 · Est. total: 183.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Pinn 1.19 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
12:17 +31’	1.13	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:44 +3’	1.19	4.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanga Hokkaido 5–0–1 Toyama Grouses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	115-93	Levanga Hokkaido
14/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	98-101	Levanga Hokkaido
14/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Levanga Hokkaido	88-87	Toyama Grouses
13/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Levanga Hokkaido	109-85	Toyama Grouses
31/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Levanga Hokkaido	88-81	Toyama Grouses
30/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Levanga Hokkaido	87-65	Toyama Grouses

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	9	8	1	869	754
2	Sendai 89ers	9	6	3	769	722
3	Gunma Crane Thunders	9	6	3	698	660
4	Tokyo Sun Rockers	9	6	3	815	693
5	Levanga Hokkaido	8	5	3	795	741
6	Yokohama B-Corsairs	9	5	4	733	757
7	Utsunomiya Brex	8	4	4	650	632
8	Toyama Grouses	8	4	4	657	694
9	Akita Northern Happinets	8	3	5	608	673
10	Altiri Chiba	9	3	6	704	758
11	Chiba Jets	9	3	6	840	911
12	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	8	2	6	625	693
13	Ibaraki Robots	9	2	7	728	736

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Levanga Hokkaido

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	109-78	W
16/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	109-90	W
10/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	103-109	L
07/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	83-95	L
04/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	100-89	W
03/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	108-105	W
27/09	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	77-78	L
26/09	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1	106-97	W
03/05	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	97-96	W
02/05	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	104-111	L

Toyama Grouses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	56-99	L
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L
04/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-99	L
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W
27/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	81-99	L
26/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League 1	99-85	W
03/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	101-91	W
02/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	96-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levanga Hokkaido vs Toyama Grouses?

Our model gives 79% to Levanga Hokkaido.

How many points are expected in Levanga Hokkaido vs Toyama Grouses?

The model estimates 187.7 total points (Levanga Hokkaido 99.5 · Toyama Grouses 88.2).