Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 08/11, 09:05
Prediction: Saga Ballooners vs Chiba Jets
Team pages: Saga Ballooners · Chiba Jets
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.2Total
Saga Ballooners84.9
Chiba Jets90.3
1X2
Saga Ballooners
Chiba Jets
Recent form · 10 last
Saga Ballooners
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Chiba Jets
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saga Ballooners
2–4
Chiba Jets
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners76-95Chiba Jets
- Saga Ballooners83-79Chiba Jets
- Chiba Jets85-71Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners74-79Chiba Jets
- Chiba Jets78-72Saga Ballooners
- Chiba Jets76-95Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saga Ballooners 1384 · Chiba Jets 1472
| Saga Ballooners | Chiba Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.2 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.2Saga Ballooners 84.9 · Chiba Jets 90.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiba Jets (rating 1384 vs 1472).
- Chiba Jets is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Chiba Jets: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saga Ballooners | Chiba Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.3 / 93.6 | 88.8 / 92.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77 / 99 | 85.2 / 87.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 90 |
Est. total175.2
Line O/U176.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saga Ballooners 2–0–4 Chiba Jets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 76-95 | Chiba Jets |
| 31/01/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 83-79 | Chiba Jets |
| 12/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 85-71 | Saga Ballooners |
| 23/10/24 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 74-79 | Chiba Jets |
| 12/11/23 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 78-72 | Saga Ballooners |
| 11/11/23 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 76-95 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 10 | 10 | 0 | 925 | 736 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1265 | 1108 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 9 | 7 | 2 | 786 | 726 | 0 |
| 4 | Mikawa Seahorses | 11 | 8 | 3 | 988 | 872 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1015 | 922 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1106 | 1069 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1107 | 1147 | 0 |
| 8 | Nagasaki Velca | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1151 | 1204 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1165 | 1203 | 0 |
| 10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 974 | 993 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1026 | 1119 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 13 | 1 | 12 | 992 | 1222 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 13 | 1 | 12 | 882 | 1172 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saga Ballooners | Chiba Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Hannaryz | 70-115 L | 79-102 L |
| Levanga Hokkaido | 90-109 L | 109-103 W |
| Kobe Storks | 84-77 W | 86-94 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chiba Jets (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saga Ballooners
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
78-84 | L |
| 31/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
83-100 | L |
| 26/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
88-112 | L |
| 21/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
66-84 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
70-115 | L |
| 16/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
90-109 | L |
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
| 04/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
89-93 | L |
Chiba Jets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
89-87 | W |
| 01/11 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
78-83 | L |
| 31/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
93-100 | L |
| 25/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
87-65 | W |
| 21/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
79-102 | L |
| 19/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
64-107 | L |
| 17/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
97-78 | W |
| 12/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
106-108 | L |
| 10/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
109-103 | W |
| 08/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
86-94 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saga Ballooners vs Chiba Jets?
Our model gives 65% to Chiba Jets.
How many points are expected in Saga Ballooners vs Chiba Jets?
The model estimates 175.2 total points (Saga Ballooners 84.9 · Chiba Jets 90.3).