Basketball · Belgium Top Division 1 · 23/10, 21:00

Prediction: Kontich Wolves vs BBC Croonen Lommel

Team pages: Kontich Wolves · BBC Croonen Lommel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.4Total

Kontich Wolves79.6

BBC Croonen Lommel81.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Kontich Wolves BBC Croonen Lommel

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Kontich Wolves 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLWL

BBC Croonen Lommel 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Kontich Wolves 2–4 BBC Croonen Lommel (6 last)

Kontich Wolves92-71BBC Croonen Lommel
BBC Croonen Lommel91-75Kontich Wolves
BBC Croonen Lommel86-90Kontich Wolves
Kontich Wolves79-82BBC Croonen Lommel
Kontich Wolves89-95BBC Croonen Lommel
BBC Croonen Lommel89-79Kontich Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kontich Wolves 1460 · BBC Croonen Lommel 1504

	Kontich Wolves	BBC Croonen Lommel
Our model	57%	43%
Market	41%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 161.4 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.4Kontich Wolves 79.6 · BBC Croonen Lommel 81.7

Match keys

H2H favours BBC Croonen Lommel: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kontich Wolves	BBC Croonen Lommel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83 / 89.7	73 / 74.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80 / 87	78.2 / 71.6
Est. result	80	82

Est. total161.4

Line O/U160.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.25

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 159.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
2	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.62 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
11:29 +18’	2.25	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:09 +42’	2.02	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kontich Wolves 2–0–4 BBC Croonen Lommel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Belgium Top Division 1	Kontich Wolves	92-71	BBC Croonen Lommel
01/11/25 Belgium Top Division 1	BBC Croonen Lommel	91-75	Kontich Wolves
21/12/24 Belgium Top Division 1	BBC Croonen Lommel	86-90	Kontich Wolves
14/09/24 Belgium Top Division 1	Kontich Wolves	79-82	BBC Croonen Lommel
25/11/23 Belgium Top Division 1	Kontich Wolves	89-95	BBC Croonen Lommel
23/09/23 Belgium Top Division 1	BBC Croonen Lommel	89-79	Kontich Wolves

Standings · Belgium Top Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren	6	5	1	549	474	11
2	Basket SKT Ieper	6	5	1	462	441	11
3	LDP Donza	6	5	1	523	469	11
4	Basket Willebroek	6	4	2	529	497	10
5	BBC Croonen Lommel	6	3	3	465	455	9
6	Port of Antwerp Giants B	6	2	4	484	549	8
7	BC Guco Lier	4	4	0	415	295	8
8	Basket Team Waregem	5	3	2	450	415	8
9	Falco Gent	6	2	4	492	483	8
10	Avanti Brugge Knights	6	2	4	438	506	8
11	BCCA Neufchateau	6	1	5	453	530	7
12	Kontich Wolves	6	1	5	482	543	7
13	Bavi Vilvoorde	5	1	4	326	379	6
14	United Woluwe	4	1	3	332	364	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kontich Wolves	BBC Croonen Lommel
Bavi Vilvoorde	79-71 W	84-55 W
Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren	89-101 L	97-87 W
LDP Donza	66-77 L	66-71 L
Basket SKT Ieper	84-95 L	65-67 L
Falco Gent	82-108 L	79-78 W
Basket Willebroek	102-107 L	74-97 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BBC Croonen Lommel (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kontich Wolves

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	BCCA Neufchateau Belgium Top Division 1	82-91	L
11/10	Bavi Vilvoorde Belgium Top Division 1	79-71	W
02/10	Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren Belgium Top Division 1	89-101	L
19/09	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	66-77	L
16/09	Basket SKT Ieper Belgium Top Division 1	84-95	L
04/09	Falco Gent Belgium Top Division 1	82-108	L
19/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	85-104	L
11/04	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	102-107	L
03/04	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	87-76	W
28/03	Basket SKT Ieper Belgium Top Division 1	74-67	W

BBC Croonen Lommel

WLWLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren Belgium Top Division 1	97-87	W
10/10	Basket SKT Ieper Belgium Top Division 1	65-67	L
03/10	Bavi Vilvoorde Belgium Top Division 1	84-55	W
19/09	Falco Gent Belgium Top Division 1	79-78	W
12/09	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	66-71	L
05/09	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	74-97	L
05/05	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	56-66	L
03/05	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	79-76	W
01/05	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	63-78	L
26/04	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	67-66	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kontich Wolves vs BBC Croonen Lommel?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kontich Wolves 44% · BBC Croonen Lommel 56%).

How many points are expected in Kontich Wolves vs BBC Croonen Lommel?

The model estimates 161.4 total points (Kontich Wolves 79.6 · BBC Croonen Lommel 81.7).