Prediction: Canterbury Rams vs Taranaki Airs
Estimated 174.9 total points (Canterbury Rams 92.5 · Taranaki Airs 82.5). Under 181.5 points (70% of recent history, magic 9).
Over its last 10 matches, Canterbury Rams sits at 7-0-3 (W-D-L), while Taranaki Airs arrives on a 3-0-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Canterbury Rams and 2 for Taranaki Airs.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canterbury Rams (rating 1561 vs 1450).
- Canterbury Rams is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Canterbury Rams: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Canterbury Rams | Taranaki Airs | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.2 / 82.9 | 81.5 / 86.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96.8 / 74.4 | 87.6 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 93 | 83 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canterbury Rams 4–0–2 Taranaki Airs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 New Zealand NBL | Taranaki Airs | 86-113 | Canterbury Rams |
| 29/06/25 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 89-98 | Taranaki Airs |
| 02/04/25 New Zealand NBL | Taranaki Airs | 71-87 | Canterbury Rams |
| 08/03/25 Basketball Matches | Canterbury Rams | 72-81 | Taranaki Airs |
| 21/07/24 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 112-111 | Taranaki Airs |
| 28/06/24 New Zealand NBL | Taranaki Airs | 83-111 | Canterbury Rams |
Standings · New Zealand NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland Tuatara | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1543 | 1320 | 28 |
| 2 | Southland Sharks | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1647 | 1516 | 28 |
| 3 | Canterbury Rams | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1567 | 1351 | 24 |
| 4 | Wellington Saints | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1478 | 1338 | 22 |
| 5 | Otago Nuggets | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1384 | 1402 | 14 |
| 6 | Taranaki Airs | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1335 | 1431 | 12 |
| 7 | Tauranga Whai | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1337 | 1469 | 12 |
| 8 | Nelson Giants | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1377 | 1449 | 10 |
| 9 | Franklin Bulls | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1430 | 1529 | 10 |
| 10 | Manawatu Jets | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1446 | 1595 | 10 |
| 11 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1412 | 1556 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canterbury Rams | Taranaki Airs |
|---|---|---|
| Manawatu Jets | 99-65 W | 77-89 L |
| Southland Sharks | 98-103 L | 93-84 W |
| Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 93-77 W | 96-74 W |
| Tauranga Whai | 101-69 W | 85-73 W |
| Otago Nuggets | 93-58 W | 77-90 L |
| Auckland Tuatara | 97-100 L | 69-90 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Canterbury Rams (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canterbury Rams
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
99-65 | W |
| 01/07 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
98-103 | L |
| 28/06 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
93-77 | W |
| 19/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
101-69 | W |
| 13/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
93-58 | W |
| 03/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
97-100 | L |
| 30/05 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
93-74 | W |
| 24/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
113-86 | W |
| 22/05 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
100-93 | W |
| 17/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
95-104 | L |
Taranaki Airs
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
96-74 | W |
| 27/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
77-90 | L |
| 20/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
87-91 | L |
| 18/06 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
93-84 | W |
| 12/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
85-73 | W |
| 06/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
69-90 | L |
| 29/05 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
77-89 | L |
| 24/05 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
86-113 | L |
| 16/05 | Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL |
71-81 | L |
| 07/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
74-82 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canterbury Rams vs Taranaki Airs?
Our model gives 76% to Canterbury Rams.
How many points are expected in Canterbury Rams vs Taranaki Airs?
The model estimates 174.9 total points (Canterbury Rams 92.5 · Taranaki Airs 82.5).
Over or under 181.5 points?
Recent history points to under 181.5 points (70%).