Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 13/11, 03:30
Prediction: Kyoka Okamura vs Rinko Matsuda
Team pages: Kyoka Okamura · Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyoka Okamura
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kyoka Okamura
5-5 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyoka Okamura 1510 · Rinko Matsuda 1461
| Kyoka Okamura | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyoka Okamura (rating 1510 vs 1461).
Statistics
| Kyoka Okamura | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.9 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Yuhan Wang W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Ena Koike W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Momoko Kobori WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/10 | Diya Ramesh Ramesh WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Maya Joint WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Yexin Ma W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Yuka Naito W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/10 | Momoko Kobori WTA Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Mary Stoiana WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Sakura Hosogi W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Ikumi Yamazaki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyoka Okamura vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 63% to Kyoka Okamura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.