Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 13/11, 02:00
Prediction: Chia Yi Tsao vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Chia Yi Tsao · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Chia Yi Tsao
Sara Saito
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chia Yi Tsao
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chia Yi Tsao 1542 · Sara Saito 1560
| Chia Yi Tsao | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Chia Yi Tsao | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.6 | 13.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chia Yi Tsao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Rina Saigo W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/11 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/11 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Yokohama |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 07/11 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Koharu Ito W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Riko Kikawada W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Monique Barry W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Momoko Kobori W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/11 | Sae Noguchi W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/11 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/11 | JiaYi Wang W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Zhuoxuan Bai W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuki Naito W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Madison Sieg W75 Toronto |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chia Yi Tsao vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 66% to Sara Saito.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.