Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 13/11, 03:30
Prediction: Berfu Cengiz vs Heather Watson
Team pages: Berfu Cengiz · Heather Watson
Prediction summary
Winner
Berfu Cengiz
Heather Watson
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Berfu Cengiz
7-3 (W-L)
Heather Watson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berfu Cengiz 1539 · Heather Watson 1476
| Berfu Cengiz | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berfu Cengiz (rating 1539 vs 1476).
- Note: Heather Watson makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Berfu Cengiz | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berfu Cengiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Remika Ohashi W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/11 | Han Shi W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/11 | Yujin Kim W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Dayeon Back W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Lina Gjorcheska W50 Istanbul |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Diana Martynov W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Heather Watson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Hanna Chang W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 17/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Angela Fita Boluda US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Claire Liu US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berfu Cengiz vs Heather Watson?
Our model gives 52% to Berfu Cengiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.