Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 12/11, 03:30
Prediction: Kanon Sawashiro vs Caroline Werner
Team pages: Kanon Sawashiro · Caroline Werner
Prediction summary
Winner
Kanon Sawashiro
Caroline Werner
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kanon Sawashiro
4-6 (W-L)
Caroline Werner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kanon Sawashiro 1580 · Caroline Werner 1493
| Kanon Sawashiro | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kanon Sawashiro (rating 1580 vs 1493).
- Note: Caroline Werner makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Kanon Sawashiro | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kanon Sawashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Ayano Shimizu W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/11 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Shiho Tsujioka W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/11 | Mio Mushika W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Sae Noguchi W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Nagisa Suzuki W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/10 | Claire Liu WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Zhuoxuan Bai W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Ankita Raina W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Amelie Brooks W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Kristina Novak WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Elvin Egribel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kanon Sawashiro vs Caroline Werner?
Our model gives 53% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.