Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 13/11, 03:00
Prediction: Rio Noguchi vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Rio Noguchi · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Rio Noguchi
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rio Noguchi
0–1
Taro Daniel
(1 last)
- 15 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rio Noguchi 1501 · Taro Daniel 1506
| Rio Noguchi | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rio Noguchi 0–1 Taro Daniel (1).
Statistics
| Rio Noguchi | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.5 | 11.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Rio Noguchi 0 – 1 Taro Daniel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rio Noguchi 0–1 Taro Daniel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/23 ATP Tokyo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Yi Zhou Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandre Muller ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Masamichi Imamura ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/09 | Dane Sweeny ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Noguchi vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 59% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.