Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 13/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Jay Friend
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
5-5 (W-L)
Jay Friend
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yu Hsiou Hsu
1–0
Jay Friend
(1 last)
- 21 Jul2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1547 · Jay Friend 1519
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yu Hsiou Hsu dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44% break avg.
- Jay Friend dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yu Hsiou Hsu 1–0 Jay Friend (1).
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.6 | 12.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1 – 0 Jay Friend (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1–0 Jay Friend
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 Challenger Winnipeg | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Niels McDonald Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Keegan Smith Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 30/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Jay Friend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Naoya Honda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/11 | Yusuke Kusuhara Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | James McCabe Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/10 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 51% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.