Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 12/11, 03:00
Prediction: Max Schoenhaus vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Max Schoenhaus · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Schoenhaus
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Max Schoenhaus
6-4 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Schoenhaus 1503 · Taro Daniel 1505
| Max Schoenhaus | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Max Schoenhaus dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 40.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Max Schoenhaus | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Schoenhaus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Patrick Brady Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/09 | Dane Sweeny ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Jake Delaney ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Schoenhaus vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 54% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.