Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 13/11, 04:30
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Ognjen Milic
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Ognjen Milic
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Ognjen Milic
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Ognjen Milic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1600 · Ognjen Milic 1491
| Rei Sakamoto | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1600 vs 1491).
- Rei Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7.8 | 12.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Amir Omarkhanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 26/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Pijus Vaitiekunas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Ognjen Milic?
Our model gives 75% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.