Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 14/11, 00:00
Prediction: Dabrowski/Stefani vs Hsieh/Ostapenko
Team pages: Dabrowski/Stefani · Hsieh/Ostapenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Dabrowski/Stefani
Hsieh/Ostapenko
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dabrowski/Stefani
8-2 (W-L)
Hsieh/Ostapenko
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dabrowski/Stefani
1–0
Hsieh/Ostapenko
(1 last)
- 28 Jan2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dabrowski/Stefani 1624 · Hsieh/Ostapenko 1543
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Hsieh/Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dabrowski/Stefani (rating 1624 vs 1543).
- Head-to-head: Dabrowski/Stefani 1–0 Hsieh/Ostapenko (1).
- Note: Dabrowski/Stefani makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Hsieh/Ostapenko makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Hsieh/Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-9.8 | 14.2-12 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 63.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.9
Over 19.5: 75% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 25% · 1.83
H2H · Dabrowski/Stefani 1 – 0 Hsieh/Ostapenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dabrowski/Stefani 1–0 Hsieh/Ostapenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Australian Open WD | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dabrowski/Stefani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 10/11 | Mertens/Zhang WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/11 | Errani/Paolini WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Hunter/Joint WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 30/10 | Chan/Kato WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 28/10 | Ayukawa/Webley-Smith WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Neel/Olmos WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hsieh/Ostapenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Mertens/Zhang WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Finals WD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 14/10 | Kenin/Khromacheva WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 09/10 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-21 | L |
| 07/10 | Khromacheva/Samsonova WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Mertens/Shnaider US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Chan/Joint US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Jurak Schreiber/Ruzic US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dabrowski/Stefani vs Hsieh/Ostapenko?
Our model gives 58% to Dabrowski/Stefani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.