Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 13/11, 01:30
Prediction: Perez/Schuurs vs Errani/Paolini
Team pages: Perez/Schuurs · Errani/Paolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Perez/Schuurs
Errani/Paolini
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Perez/Schuurs
6-4 (W-L)
Errani/Paolini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perez/Schuurs 1469 · Errani/Paolini 1603
| Perez/Schuurs | Errani/Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Errani/Paolini (rating 1469 vs 1603).
- Errani/Paolini is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Perez/Schuurs | Errani/Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-14.3 | 15-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.8
Over 19.5: 80% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 20% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perez/Schuurs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Siniakova/Townsend WTA Finals WD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Finals WD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Hunter/Joint WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/10 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Qu/Shao WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-21 | L |
| 08/10 | Mertens/Shnaider WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-20 | W |
| 04/10 | Sonmez/Vekic WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Errani/Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/11 | Siniakova/Townsend WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 01/11 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Muhammad/Zhang WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Danilina/Jiang WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 16/10 | Danilina/Zhang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perez/Schuurs vs Errani/Paolini?
Our model gives 67% to Errani/Paolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.