Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 14/11, 01:30
Prediction: Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
Team pages: Guo/Mladenovic · Mertens/Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Guo/Mladenovic
Mertens/Zhang
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Guo/Mladenovic
4-6 (W-L)
Mertens/Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guo/Mladenovic
1–0
Mertens/Zhang
(1 last)
- 01 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guo/Mladenovic 1541 · Mertens/Zhang 1473
| Guo/Mladenovic | Mertens/Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guo/Mladenovic (rating 1541 vs 1473).
- Head-to-head: Guo/Mladenovic 1–0 Mertens/Zhang (1).
Statistics
| Guo/Mladenovic | Mertens/Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13.1 | 11.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4
Over 19.5: 76% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 24% · 1.83
H2H · Guo/Mladenovic 1 – 0 Mertens/Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guo/Mladenovic 1–0 Mertens/Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 French Open WD | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guo/Mladenovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Finals WD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 10/11 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 22/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Lumsden/Panova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chwalinska/Linette US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kostyuk/Stearns WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Kato/Kichenok WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mertens/Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Finals WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Finals WD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Hsieh/Wang Wimbledon WD · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Begu/Cristian Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Fossa Huergo/Korpatsch French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/05 | Parks/Pigossi French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Hsieh/Wang WTA Rome WD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang?
Our model gives 51% to Guo/Mladenovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.