Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 12/11, 18:00
Prediction: Nathan Mansfield vs Ben Stecker
Team pages: Nathan Mansfield · Ben Stecker
Prediction summary
Winner
Nathan Mansfield
Ben Stecker
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Mansfield
1-9 (W-L)
Ben Stecker
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Mansfield 1384 · Ben Stecker 1515
| Nathan Mansfield | Ben Stecker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Stecker (rating 1384 vs 1515).
- Ben Stecker is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Nathan Mansfield makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Nathan Mansfield | Ben Stecker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-11.8 | 10.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 7% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Thomas Edwards UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oriol Font UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Aleksandar Mitev UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ben Stecker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Thomas Edwards UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/11 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Michael Lorenzetti UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Rohan Belday UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Cruz UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Mansfield vs Ben Stecker?
Our model gives 68% to Ben Stecker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.