Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 13/11, 18:10

Prediction: Tommy Czaplinski vs Ben Stecker

Team pages: Tommy Czaplinski · Ben Stecker

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Tommy Czaplinski Ben Stecker
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tommy Czaplinski 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Ben Stecker 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tommy Czaplinski 1590 · Ben Stecker 1545
Tommy CzaplinskiBen Stecker
Our model56%44%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommy Czaplinski (rating 1590 vs 1545).
  • Note: Tommy Czaplinski makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Tommy CzaplinskiBen Stecker
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.3-1
Games (G-P)12.7-10.111.7-10.9
Aces32.9
Double faults4.82.4
1st serve %66.6%71.8%
Break %48.4%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tommy Czaplinski

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/11 Timeo Bretin
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
12/11 Noey Do
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
11/11 Gabriel Jalouneix
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
11/11 Tomas Pinho
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/09 Adrian Solorzano
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
26/09 Filip Paroulek
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
24/09 Julian Messina
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
23/09 Marc Van Der Merwe
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
22/09 Marshall Landry
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
21/09 Ritesh Patil
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Ben Stecker

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Andrew Li
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
12/11 Nathan Mansfield
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/11 Thomas Edwards
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
11/11 Gabriel Porras
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/10 Michael Lorenzetti
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Rohan Belday
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/10 Stijn Paardekooper
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/10 Rodrigo Cruz
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
13/10 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/09 Ilan Hediger
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tommy Czaplinski vs Ben Stecker?

Our model gives 54% to Ben Stecker, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.