Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 12/11, 19:30
Prediction: Ilan Hediger vs Arin Pallegar
Team pages: Ilan Hediger · Arin Pallegar
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilan Hediger
Arin Pallegar
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ilan Hediger
3-7 (W-L)
Arin Pallegar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilan Hediger 1420 · Arin Pallegar 1495
| Ilan Hediger | Arin Pallegar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arin Pallegar (rating 1420 vs 1495).
- Arin Pallegar is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ilan Hediger | Arin Pallegar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.9 | 11-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilan Hediger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Timeo Bretin UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Rafael Botran Neutze UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Ben Stecker UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Robin Boeckli M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Benoit Torcq M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Arin Pallegar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Rafael Botran Neutze UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Timeo Bretin UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Noey Do UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Andreas Scott UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Adrian Solorzano UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Vyas UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Togan Tokac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Youssef Labbene M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilan Hediger vs Arin Pallegar?
Our model gives 61% to Arin Pallegar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.