Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 13/11, 17:00

Prediction: Otso Martikainen vs Ilan Hediger

Team pages: Otso Martikainen · Ilan Hediger

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Otso Martikainen Ilan Hediger
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Otso Martikainen 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLWL
Ilan Hediger 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Otso Martikainen 1457 · Ilan Hediger 1450
Otso MartikainenIlan Hediger
Our model51%49%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Otso MartikainenIlan Hediger
Win %40%30%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41-1.6
Games (G-P)10.5-1111.4-13.5
Aces2.62.1
Double faults1.61.8
1st serve %69.6%59.1%
Break %27.2%53.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Otso Martikainen

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/11 Andrew Li
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
11/06 Louis Larue
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Rahul Dhokia
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
04/05 Rodrigo Leal
M25 Loule · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
02/05 Samuel D F Garcia
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/05 Sander Juuhl Sivertsen
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
30/04 Bruno Ouvidor
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Roy Keegan
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/04 Diego Fernandez Flores
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-1 15-11 W

Ilan Hediger

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Arin Pallegar
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
2-1 20-18 W
12/11 Timeo Bretin
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/11 Rafael Botran Neutze
UTR Pro Houston · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
27/09 Cooper Johnson
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
26/09 Ben Stecker
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
25/09 Noble Renfrow
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
24/09 Harrison Lee
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/09 Zechariah Hamrouni
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Lukas Palovic
UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
14/06 Robin Boeckli
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Otso Martikainen vs Ilan Hediger?

Our model gives 55% to Otso Martikainen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.