Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 11/11, 22:00
Prediction: Nathan Mansfield vs Gabriel Porras
Team pages: Gabriel Porras
Prediction summary
Winner
Nathan Mansfield
Gabriel Porras
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Mansfield
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriel Porras
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Mansfield 1398 · Gabriel Porras 1512
| Nathan Mansfield | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Porras (rating 1398 vs 1512).
- Gabriel Porras is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriel Porras makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Nathan Mansfield | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-12.1 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | – | 1.5 |
| Double faults | – | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | – | 62% |
| Break % | – | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oriol Font UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Aleksandar Mitev UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Leevi Saatela UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Karol Filar UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Gabriel Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Lo Nardo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 11/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Mansfield vs Gabriel Porras?
Our model gives 66% to Gabriel Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.