Prediction: Lucia Ros Parres vs Chiara Fornasieri
Team pages: Lucia Ros Parres · Chiara Fornasieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Ros Parres
Chiara Fornasieri
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Ros Parres
4-6 (W-L)
Chiara Fornasieri
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Ros Parres 1465 · Chiara Fornasieri 1539
| Lucia Ros Parres | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Fornasieri (rating 1465 vs 1539).
- Chiara Fornasieri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucia Ros Parres | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.6 | 9.6-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 64.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Ros Parres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Mar Cabassers Morros W15 Nules |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Emma Brandt Schultz W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Olga Parres Azcoitia W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Lidia Gonzalez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Anika Jaskova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Matilde Mariani W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Lujza Beviz W15 Szekesfehervar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Anika Jaskova W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Lana Virc W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Ros Parres vs Chiara Fornasieri?
Our model gives 73% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.