Tennis · W15 Nules · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Chiara Fornasieri

Team pages: Isabel Adrover Gallego · Chiara Fornasieri

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Isabel Adrover Gallego Chiara Fornasieri
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Isabel Adrover Gallego 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWWW
Chiara Fornasieri 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isabel Adrover Gallego 1537 · Chiara Fornasieri 1537
Isabel Adrover GallegoChiara Fornasieri
Our model50%50%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Isabel Adrover GallegoChiara Fornasieri
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.4-0.7
Games (G-P)11.1-10.310.2-8.1
Aces1.40.4
Double faults2.62.3
1st serve %58.6%58.8%
Break %48.1%64.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isabel Adrover Gallego

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Aleksandra Iankovskaia
W15 Nules
2-0 12-7 W
10/11 Maria Trujillo Garnica
W15 Nules
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Kateryna Lazarenko
W50 Yecla
1-2 14-13 L
30/05 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
30/05 Kate Gardiner
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
29/05 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/05 Tia Bonita Jakupovic-Kljako
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/05 Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/04 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
14/04 Margaux Maquet
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Chiara Fornasieri

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Lucia Ros Parres
W15 Nules
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 Matilde Paoletti
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
14/10 Matilde Mariani
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Federica Bilardo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 9-4 W
10/10 Lujza Beviz
W15 Szekesfehervar
0-2 4-12 L
09/10 Anika Jaskova
W15 Szekesfehervar
2-0 13-6 W
08/10 Lana Virc
W15 Szekesfehervar
2-1 16-15 W
07/10 Patricia Georgiana Goina
W15 Szekesfehervar
2-0 12-2 W
17/09 Viola Turini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/09 Alessandra Fiorillo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Chiara Fornasieri?

Our model gives 64% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.