Tennis · W15 Nules · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Carlotta Moccia

Team pages: Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen · Carlotta Moccia

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen Carlotta Moccia
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWLW
Carlotta Moccia 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen 1558 · Carlotta Moccia 1536
Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenCarlotta Moccia
Our model53%47%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenCarlotta Moccia
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard – 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.5-0.9
Games (G-P)10-8.411.6-9.5
Aces11.2
Double faults0.53.3
1st serve %59.5%60.3%
Break %46.9%54.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W15 Nules
2-0 13-5 W
30/10 Klara Veldman
W15 Taby
0-2 4-12 L
29/10 Milana Maslenkova
W15 Taby
2-0 13-9 W
27/10 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W15 Taby
2-0 12-4 W
15/10 Kristina Kroitor
W15 Chisinau
0-2 6-12 L
14/10 Eva Iurina
W15 Chisinau
2-1 15-12 W
11/10 Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
W15 Chisinau
0-2 3-12 L
10/10 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Chisinau
2-0 8-1 W
09/10 Andreea Prisacariu
W15 Chisinau
2-1 14-13 W
08/10 Mirjana Jovanovic
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-4 W

Carlotta Moccia

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Defne Cirpanli
W15 Nules
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Loule · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
20/10 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/10 Britt Du Pree
W35 Lagos
1-2 11-18 L
06/10 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Beatriz Castro
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Baza
1-2 12-16 L
28/09 Carolina Gomez
W35 Baza
2-1 9-7 W
27/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Baza
2-0 12-8 W
02/09 Daniela Vismane
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Carlotta Moccia?

Our model gives 55% to Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.