Tennis · W15 Nules · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Katerina Tsygourova vs Aleksandra Pozarenko

Team pages: Katerina Tsygourova · Aleksandra Pozarenko

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Katerina Tsygourova Aleksandra Pozarenko
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Tsygourova 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLW
Aleksandra Pozarenko 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katerina Tsygourova 1496 · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1483
Katerina TsygourovaAleksandra Pozarenko
Our model52%48%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (8.1/match).

Statistics

Katerina TsygourovaAleksandra Pozarenko
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11.1-10.910.7-11.2
Aces1.30.7
Double faults2.98.1
1st serve %55.6%61.6%
Break %60.2%55.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katerina Tsygourova

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Lucia Natal
W15 Nules
2-0 12-6 W
03/11 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/10 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
20/10 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
11/10 Sara Cakarevic
WTA Lisbon · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
08/10 Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Gabriela Ce
W35 Seville
2-1 16-10 W
06/10 Amandine Hesse
W35 Seville
2-0 12-7 W
22/09 Veronika Erjavec
WTA Tolentino · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
21/09 Aneta Laboutkova
WTA Tolentino · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Aleksandra Pozarenko

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Marina Quesada Oyonarte
W15 Nules
2-0 12-2 W
28/10 Klara Blazkova
W15 Taby
1-2 16-18 L
21/10 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Villena · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
20/10 Farah Heddar
W15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
04/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/09 Isabelle Cherny
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 15-15 W
01/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
25/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
19/08 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W15 Logrono
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Petra Konjikusic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katerina Tsygourova vs Aleksandra Pozarenko?

Our model gives 71% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.