Tennis · W15 Nules · 11/11, 09:30

Prediction: Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Isabel Adrover Gallego

Team pages: Aleksandra Iankovskaia · Isabel Adrover Gallego

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Aleksandra Iankovskaia Isabel Adrover Gallego
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Iankovskaia 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLWL
Isabel Adrover Gallego 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1401 · Isabel Adrover Gallego 1525
Aleksandra IankovskaiaIsabel Adrover Gallego
Our model33%67%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabel Adrover Gallego (rating 1401 vs 1525).
  • Isabel Adrover Gallego is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Aleksandra IankovskaiaIsabel Adrover Gallego
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (3) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.81.1-1.2
Games (G-P)6.5-11.710.7-10.8
Aces1.11.3
Double faults5.92.6
1st serve %53%57.6%
Break %52.4%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aleksandra Iankovskaia

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Daniela Darta Feldmane
W35 Loule · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
14/10 Anna Shkutova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
06/10 Matylda Burylo
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/08 Salma Djoubri
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 1-12 L
11/08 Elyse Tse
W35 Vigo
0-2 3-12 L
03/08 Sofia Camila Rojas
W75 Ourense
0-2 10-14 L
02/08 Yuliya Hatouka
W75 Ourense
2-1 13-10 W
20/07 Ylenia Zocco
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Capucine Dournes
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 10-6 W
12/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 7-12 L

Isabel Adrover Gallego

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Maria Trujillo Garnica
W15 Nules
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Kateryna Lazarenko
W50 Yecla
1-2 14-13 L
30/05 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
30/05 Kate Gardiner
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
29/05 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/05 Tia Bonita Jakupovic-Kljako
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/05 Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/04 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
14/04 Margaux Maquet
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/02 Charlotte Narti
W15 Palm Coast
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Isabel Adrover Gallego?

Our model gives 71% to Isabel Adrover Gallego, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.