Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 11/11, 04:30
Prediction: Junlu Sun vs Ru Xi Wu
Team pages: Junlu Sun · Ru Xi Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Junlu Sun
Ru Xi Wu
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Junlu Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Ru Xi Wu
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junlu Sun 1540 · Ru Xi Wu 1489
| Junlu Sun | Ru Xi Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junlu Sun (rating 1540 vs 1489).
- Junlu Sun is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ru Xi Wu makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Junlu Sun | Ru Xi Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.6 | 9.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 61% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junlu Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ziyan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Aoyi Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Liuyan An W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Jiangxue Han W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Xiaochuan Nie W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ru Xi Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Jiangxue Han W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Gloria Levinsky W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Varvara Rubtsova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Junhan Zhang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junlu Sun vs Ru Xi Wu?
Our model gives 56% to Junlu Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.