Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 13/11, 03:00
Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Alina Tikhonova
Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Alina Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiaqi Wang
Alina Tikhonova
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Tikhonova
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jiaqi Wang
0–1
Alina Tikhonova
(1 last)
- 06 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1547 · Alina Tikhonova 1634
| Jiaqi Wang | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1547 vs 1634).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jiaqi Wang 0–1 Alina Tikhonova (1).
Statistics
| Jiaqi Wang | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.9 | 11.7-6.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
H2H · Jiaqi Wang 0 – 1 Alina Tikhonova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiaqi Wang 0–1 Alina Tikhonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 W15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiaqi Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Naoko Eto W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/11 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Yiru Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 22/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Xiaodi You W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Yanan Hou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Alina Tikhonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Ziyu Zhou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Yushan Shao W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Alina Tikhonova?
Our model gives 64% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.