Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 13/11, 04:30
Prediction: Yushan Shao vs Valeria Savinykh
Team pages: Yushan Shao · Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Yushan Shao
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yushan Shao
7-3 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yushan Shao 1578 · Valeria Savinykh 1537
| Yushan Shao | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yushan Shao (rating 1578 vs 1537).
Statistics
| Yushan Shao | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.4 | 11-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 63% |
| Break % | 58% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yushan Shao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Fang An Lin W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/11 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/11 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/11 | Yihan Qu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/10 | Varvara Panshina W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 26/10 | Anna Yang W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Jialan Cai W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Aoi Ito W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/11 | Yiming Dang W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Arina Arifullina W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Lagos |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Zi Ye Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yushan Shao vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 55% to Yushan Shao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.