Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 14/11, 03:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Thasaporn Naklo
Team pages: Alina Tikhonova · Thasaporn Naklo
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Thasaporn Naklo
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
9-1 (W-L)
Thasaporn Naklo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1627 · Thasaporn Naklo 1611
| Alina Tikhonova | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-6.5 | 12.5-6.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/11 | Ziyu Zhou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Yushan Shao W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Thasaporn Naklo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Yiru Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Arina Varaksina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Thasaporn Naklo?
Our model gives 63% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.