Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 11/11, 04:30
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
4-6 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1505 · Niels McDonald 1484
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.2 | 10-11.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 34% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Keegan Smith Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 30/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Pierre Delage Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Zaccharie Cado Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 63% to Yu Hsiou Hsu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.