Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 12/11, 00:00
Prediction: Dabrowski/Stefani vs Guo/Mladenovic
Team pages: Dabrowski/Stefani · Guo/Mladenovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Dabrowski/Stefani
Guo/Mladenovic
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dabrowski/Stefani
8-2 (W-L)
Guo/Mladenovic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dabrowski/Stefani
0–1
Guo/Mladenovic
(1 last)
- 12 Jul0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dabrowski/Stefani 1610 · Guo/Mladenovic 1545
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dabrowski/Stefani (rating 1610 vs 1545).
- Dabrowski/Stefani is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dabrowski/Stefani 0–1 Guo/Mladenovic (1).
- Note: Guo/Mladenovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.4 | 14.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.6
Over 19.5: 74% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 26% · 1.80
H2H · Dabrowski/Stefani 0 – 1 Guo/Mladenovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dabrowski/Stefani 0–1 Guo/Mladenovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Wimbledon WD | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dabrowski/Stefani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Mertens/Zhang WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/11 | Errani/Paolini WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Hunter/Joint WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 30/10 | Chan/Kato WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 28/10 | Ayukawa/Webley-Smith WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Neel/Olmos WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Siniakova/Zhang WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Guo/Mladenovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Finals WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 22/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Lumsden/Panova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chwalinska/Linette US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kostyuk/Stearns WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Kato/Kichenok WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dabrowski/Stefani vs Guo/Mladenovic?
Our model gives 60% to Dabrowski/Stefani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.