Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 11/11, 00:00
Prediction: Francisco Salmain vs Andrew Li
Team pages: Andrew Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Salmain
Andrew Li
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Salmain
5-5 (W-L)
Andrew Li
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Salmain 1397 · Andrew Li 1547
| Francisco Salmain | Andrew Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrew Li (rating 1397 vs 1547).
- Andrew Li is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francisco Salmain | Andrew Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-13.3 | 12.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Salmain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/02 | Arjun Prabhakar UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/02 | Santiago Navarro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/02 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/02 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/11 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/11 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/11 | Tiago Pires UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Zachery Foster UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Andrew Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/04 | Evan Shamlian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/04 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Salmain vs Andrew Li?
Our model gives 69% to Andrew Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.