Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Gabriela Kawano Cho
Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Gabriela Kawano Cho
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Gabriela Kawano Cho
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
7-3 (W-L)
Gabriela Kawano Cho
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1513 · Gabriela Kawano Cho 1423
| Marie Mettraux | Gabriela Kawano Cho | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Mettraux (rating 1513 vs 1423).
- Note: Gabriela Kawano Cho makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Gabriela Kawano Cho | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.6 | 8.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriela Ce W35 Seville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Denise Valente W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Amahee Charrier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gabriela Kawano Cho
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sofia Simon Padros W15 Neuquen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Camila Bertolini W15 Neuquen |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/10 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Neuquen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Luana Plaza W15 Maceio |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Cipolletti |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Cipolletti |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Diva Bhatia W15 Trelew |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Mayra Arce Gonzalez W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Gabriela Kawano Cho?
Our model gives 79% to Marie Mettraux, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.