Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 14/11, 14:00
Prediction: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica
Team pages: Marjorie Souza · Barbara Gatica
Prediction summary
Winner
Marjorie Souza
Barbara Gatica
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marjorie Souza
7-3 (W-L)
Barbara Gatica
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marjorie Souza 1538 · Barbara Gatica 1609
| Marjorie Souza | Barbara Gatica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbara Gatica (rating 1538 vs 1609).
- Barbara Gatica is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Marjorie Souza makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Marjorie Souza | Barbara Gatica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.2 | 12.1-5.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 67.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Isadora Sigrist W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Francesca Jones WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Berta Bonardi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Sabrina Dias W15 Campina Grande |
1-1 | 6-8 | L |
| 20/10 | Sophia Santos W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Maceio |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Barbara Gatica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Lan Mi W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Luisa Hrda W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/11 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Camila Romero W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Josefina Estevez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Maceio |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica?
Our model gives 73% to Barbara Gatica, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.